Reuters/WSJ: Anthropic's IPO is in trouble after the sell-off — investors balk at $1.5 trillion, one puts fair value near $1 trillion, and a delay is on the table
Anthropic's planned IPO — potentially the largest ever — ran into the AI sell-off this week. Reuters reported on November 5, citing four people familiar with investor discussions, that potential investors doubt Anthropic can start its roadshow the week of November 9 and still complete a November listing. The Wall Street Journal separately reported that three major investors planning to take part say the discussed $1.5 trillion valuation is unlikely to hold, with one putting fair value closer to $1 trillion.
The options reportedly on the table are pricing lower, raising less than the anticipated up-to-$100 billion, or postponing the listing until markets steady — executives and advisers are expected to meet within days to decide. Even if a valuation is agreed, Reuters' sources said Anthropic could still choose to delay. Anthropic declined to comment.
Anthropic filed its S-1 on October 26 without a price range and amended it on November 2, showing $33.2 billion in nine-month revenue alongside roughly $895 billion in commitments. Prediction markets have cut the odds of a November listing sharply since the sell-off.
Update, November 7: the timetable reporting is now split. The Diary of AI, citing the Financial Times via The Decoder and The Information, reported on November 7 that Anthropic will go ahead with its roadshow in the week of November 9 and still aims to list before Thanksgiving — directly against the delay talk in the Reuters reporting above. The FT also put Anthropic's annualized revenue at about $81 billion, a press figure rather than a filed one. The two accounts cannot both be right about next week; whether a roadshow actually starts will settle it within days.
Sources
- PYMNTS — Anthropic IPO faces $500 billion valuation hit after tech stocks plunge (Reuters/WSJ reports, Nov 5)
- World Money Roadmap — Anthropic IPO: November listing, $1.5T valuation in doubt
- Longbridge/Benzinga — Anthropic's IPO valuation could drop to $1 trillion, with delay possible
- The Diary of AI — Anthropic presses on with IPO roadshow; Crusoe site goes to Google (Nov 7)